Chinese Titanium Sponge Prices Plummet Amid Surging Production and Weak Demand

China titanium sponge exports 2020-24 (t)

Chinese titanium sponge prices have dropped to their lowest levels in eight years as the market faces a combination of increased production and waning demand. As of August 1, prices for 99.7% grade titanium sponge were assessed at 49,000-50,000 yuan per ton ($6.89-7.03 per kilogram), marking the lowest point since November 2016 and a decline of 4.8% from late May.

The fall in prices is largely attributed to a surge in output from China's 12 major titanium sponge producers, whose combined production reached 141,600 tons between January and July, a 15% increase from the same period last year. This increase follows the expansion of production capacities, with overall sponge output capacity rising by 23% in 2023 to 320,000 tons per year.

Notably, state-controlled Pangang Titanium Industry and LB Group, the world's largest titanium dioxide producer, have been key players in this expansion. Pangang increased capacity at its Sichuan province facility by adding a 35,000 tons per year production line in September 2023, while LB Group’s subsidiary, Yunnan National Titanium Metal (Guotai), reached its design capacity of 80,000 tons per year at its Xinli plant, making it China's largest sponge producer.

Despite these production increases, the market remains oversupplied, with downstream sectors such as the chemical, military, and civil industries showing sluggish demand. A major titanium mill in Baoji reportedly purchased sponge at 48,000 yuan per ton in late July, anticipating further price drops due to continued weak demand and excessive supply.

Producers have attempted to cut prices to stimulate sales but have struggled to secure large orders. Many buyers are holding off on restocking, expecting prices to decline further in the near term. Analysts suggest that if spot prices fall to 46,000-47,000 yuan per ton, major producers may be forced to cut output.

Exports have provided little relief to the domestic market. China's titanium sponge exports reached 2,426 tons during the first half of 2024, accounting for just 2% of domestic production. While exports nearly doubled year-on-year in June, the overall volume remains insufficient to balance the oversupplied domestic market.